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Bitwise Proposes ETFs for Betting on Future US Election Outcomes

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Jamie Redman

February 20, 2026 7 months ago

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Bitwise Proposes ETFs for Betting on Future US Election Outcomes

In a bold move to bridge the gap between financial markets and political forecasting, Bitwise Asset Management has submitted a proposal to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) for the creation of six unique exchange-traded funds (ETFs).

In a bold move to bridge the gap between financial markets and political forecasting, Bitwise Asset Management has submitted a proposal to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) for the creation of six unique exchange-traded funds (ETFs). These ETFs are designed to offer investors the opportunity to place bets on the results of the upcoming 2026 midterm elections and the 2028 presidential election directly through their investment accounts. This initiative represents a pioneering attempt to integrate political event outcomes into the realm of investment strategies.

On February 17, Bitwise outlined its innovative plan, aiming to introduce what it calls Prediction Shares ETFs to the market. These financial instruments are structured to track and reflect the binary outcomes of future political events, providing a novel way for investors to speculate on or hedge against the political developments that shape the United States' landscape. By leveraging the mechanics of ETFs, Bitwise is seeking to make political predictions a more accessible and tradable commodity for investors within the regulatory framework provided by the SEC.

The introduction of these ETFs by Bitwise highlights a growing interest in alternative investment vehicles that go beyond traditional market assets. By focusing on the intersection of politics and finance, Bitwise is not only expanding the boundaries of what can be traded on Wall Street but also offering a unique lens through which investors can view and interact with the political process. As the SEC reviews Bitwise's proposal, the financial community watches closely to see if this innovative approach to blending electoral outcomes with investment strategies will set a new precedent in the market.